Burns are irreversible. The math shouldn't be a guess.
For each burn-eligible token you hold: the market value you'd surrender, the probability-weighted value of the reward pool, and the expected value of pulling the trigger. Slab recommends — you decide.
Stress-test with the ETH price
Burn EV moves with the market: a higher ETH price makes your tokens more expensive to give up. Drag to see verdicts flip in real time.
1 of 5 burns are EV-positive at this price.
Patient Panda #8834
Series 2 · Burn Island · Season 3
You give up
$2,108
0.620 ETH market value
Expected reward
$1,008
probability-weighted · estimated odds
Expected value
−$1,100
reward − surrendered
Reward pool breakdown
Patient Panda #9915
Series 2 · Burn Island · Season 3
You give up
$2,040
0.600 ETH market value
Expected reward
$1,008
probability-weighted · estimated odds
Expected value
−$1,032
reward − surrendered
Reward pool breakdown
Curious Cat #2101
Series 2 · Burn Island · Curiosity Pool
You give up
$1,530
0.450 ETH market value
Expected reward
$2,190
probability-weighted · estimated odds
Expected value
+$660
reward − surrendered
Reward pool breakdown
Observant Owl #3302
Book Games · Book Games · Exchange
You give up
$289
0.085 ETH market value
Expected reward
$206
probability-weighted · official odds
Expected value
−$83
reward − surrendered
Reward pool breakdown
Kind Koala #7719
Book Games · Book Games · Exchange
You give up
$204
0.060 ETH market value
Expected reward
$210
probability-weighted · official odds
Expected value
+$6
reward − surrendered
Reward pool breakdown
Demo data — informational estimates, not financial advice. Collectible markets carry substantial risk, including total illiquidity.